GMS poll of 3 January 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Dec 2017 to 2 Jan 2018
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.0%±0
- SPD20.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 4 Dec 2017.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 27 Dec 2017 to 2 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 4 Dec 2017, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has AfD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.8average 12.2
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 32.8
- SPD -0.6average 20.6
- Linke +0.3average 9.7
- Grüne -0.2average 11.2
- FDP -0.2average 9.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- SPD131
- AfD92
- Grüne72
- Linke66
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.