GMS poll of 4 December 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Nov 2017 to 1 Dec 2017
- Respondents
- 1,010
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.0%+1.0
- SPD21.0%±0
- AfD13.0%±0
- FDP10.0%-2.0
- Grüne10.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 19 Oct 2017.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,010 people were surveyed from 28 Nov 2017 to 1 Dec 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 19 Oct 2017, FDP loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Dec 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.5average 11.5
- Grüne -1.0average 11.0
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 32.6
- Linke +0.5average 9.5
- SPD -0.1average 21.1
- FDP +0.1average 9.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- SPD138
- AfD85
- FDP66
- Grüne66
- Linke65
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.