GMS poll of 19 October 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 18 Oct 2017
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%-6.0
- SPD21.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%+3.0
- FDP12.0%+3.0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- Grüne9.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 21 Sep 2017.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 21 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 6.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points, FDP gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower and AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.6average 33.6
- AfD +1.7average 11.3
- FDP +1.7average 10.3
- SPD -0.4average 21.4
- Linke +0.4average 9.6
- Grüne ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- SPD138
- AfD85
- FDP79
- Linke66
- Grüne59
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.