Single poll

GMS poll of 21 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
GMS
Fieldwork period
14 to 20 Sep 2017
Respondents
1,004
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.0%-1.0
  • SPD22.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%+2.0
  • FDP9.0%-1.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 7 Sep 2017.

In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by GMS.

Compared with the previous GMS poll of 7 Sep 2017, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +0.8average 36.2
  • Linke -0.7average 9.7
  • AfD -0.6average 10.6
  • FDP -0.5average 9.5
  • Grüne +0.4average 7.6
  • SPD -0.1average 22.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 245 seatsSPD: 146 seatsAfD: 66 seatsFDP: 60 seatsLinke: 60 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU245
  • SPD146
  • AfD66
  • FDP60
  • Linke60
  • Grüne53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD391 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke371 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne358 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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