Single poll

GMS poll of 7 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
GMS
Fieldwork period
31 Aug 2017 to 6 Sep 2017
Respondents
1,012
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%-2.0
  • SPD22.0%±0
  • FDP10.0%+1.0
  • Grüne9.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%+1.0
  • AfD8.0%+1.0
  • Others4.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 16 Aug 2017.

In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,012 people were surveyed from 31 Aug 2017 to 6 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by GMS.

Compared with the previous GMS poll of 16 Aug 2017, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has Grüne 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.6average 7.4
  • AfD -1.3average 9.3
  • SPD -1.2average 23.2
  • FDP +1.1average 8.9
  • CDU/CSU +0.5average 37.5
  • Linke -0.1average 9.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 249 seatsSPD: 144 seatsFDP: 66 seatsGrüne: 59 seatsLinke: 59 seatsAfD: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU249
  • SPD144
  • FDP66
  • Grüne59
  • Linke59
  • AfD53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD393 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke374 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD361 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD361 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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