GMS poll of 16 August 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 15 Aug 2017
- Respondents
- 1,007
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU40.0%+1.0
- SPD22.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Grüne8.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- AfD7.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 6 Jul 2017.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,007 people were surveyed from 8 to 15 Aug 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 6 Jul 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has SPD 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Aug 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.3average 24.3
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 38.6
- AfD -1.3average 8.3
- Linke -0.9average 8.9
- Grüne +0.7average 7.3
- FDP +0.6average 8.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU268
- SPD147
- FDP60
- Grüne54
- Linke54
- AfD47
- CDU/CSU + SPD415 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.