Single poll
GMS poll of 4 May 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Apr 2017 to 3 May 2017
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 30 Apr 2017 to 3 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 23 Mar 2017, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -0.8average 8.8
- FDP +0.8average 6.2
- AfD +0.4average 8.6
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 35.7
- SPD -0.3average 29.3
- Grüne -0.3average 7.3
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU236
- SPD190
- AfD59
- Linke53
- FDP46
- Grüne46
- CDU/CSU + SPD426 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne328 of 630
More
More polls
← GMS, 23 Mar 2017GMS, 1 Jun 2017 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2017
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.