GMS poll of 1 June 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 31 May 2017
- Respondents
- 1,016
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU39.0%+3.0
- SPD23.0%-6.0
- FDP10.0%+3.0
- Grüne8.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- AfD8.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 4 May 2017.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,016 people were surveyed from 26 to 31 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 4 May 2017, SPD loses 6.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, FDP gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has SPD 2.9 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jun 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.9average 25.9
- CDU/CSU +1.5average 37.5
- FDP +1.4average 8.6
- Grüne +0.7average 7.3
- Linke -0.3average 8.3
- AfD -0.2average 8.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU256
- SPD151
- FDP66
- Grüne53
- Linke52
- AfD52
- CDU/CSU + SPD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD360 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.