GMS poll of 23 March 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 22 Mar 2017
- Respondents
- 1,008
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%+1.0
- SPD31.0%+2.0
- AfD9.0%-2.0
- Grüne8.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 9 Feb 2017.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 31.0%. 1,008 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 Mar 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 9 Feb 2017, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has CDU/CSU 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Mar 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.5average 32.5
- AfD -1.2average 10.2
- Grüne +0.6average 7.4
- SPD -0.3average 31.3
- Linke ±0average 8.0
- FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU223
- SPD203
- AfD59
- Grüne53
- Linke53
- FDP39
- CDU/CSU + SPD426 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.