Single poll

GMS poll of 9 February 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
GMS
Fieldwork period
2 to 8 Feb 2017
Respondents
1,009
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%
  • SPD29.0%
  • AfD11.0%
  • Grüne9.0%
  • Linke8.0%
  • FDP6.0%
  • Others4.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 1,009 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Feb 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by GMS.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Feb 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.4average 27.6
  • Linke -0.9average 8.9
  • Grüne +0.7average 8.3
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 33.6
  • AfD -0.5average 11.5
  • FDP +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 217 seatsSPD: 190 seatsAfD: 72 seatsGrüne: 59 seatsLinke: 53 seatsFDP: 39 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU217
  • SPD190
  • AfD72
  • Grüne59
  • Linke53
  • FDP39
  • CDU/CSU + SPD407 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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