Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 14 August 2023 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 14 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Online
- AfD30.0%+4.0
- SPD25.0%+1.5
- CDU15.0%-2.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Grüne7.0%-2.0
- BVB/FW7.0%+0.5
- FDP2.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 Mar 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 10 to 14 Aug 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 Mar 2023, AfD gains 4.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 5.0 points higher and CDU 4.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +5.0average 25.0
- CDU -4.3average 19.3
- SPD +2.7average 22.3
- Grüne -2.3average 9.3
- FDP -2.0average 4.0
- Linke -1.7average 9.7
- BVB/FW +1.0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- AfD29
- SPD24
- CDU14
- Grüne7
- Linke7
- BVB/FW7
- AfD + SPD53 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne50 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke50 of 88
- AfD + CDU + BVB/FW50 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne45 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke45 of 88
- SPD + CDU + BVB/FW45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.