Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 25 November 2022 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 18 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 1,922
- Method
- Online
- SPD26.0%-0.5
- AfD26.0%+1.0
- CDU13.5%+1.5
- Grüne10.0%-2.0
- Linke8.0%+2.0
- BVB/FW7.0%±0
- FDP3.5%-1.5
- Others6.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 12 Sep 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 26.0%. 1,922 people were surveyed from 6 to 18 Nov 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 12 Sep 2022, Grüne loses 2.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 4.0 points lower and SPD 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -4.0average 17.5
- SPD +3.0average 23.0
- BVB/FW +2.5average 4.5
- AfD +1.5average 24.5
- Linke -1.5average 9.5
- Grüne -1.0average 11.0
- FDP -0.5average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD25
- AfD25
- CDU13
- Grüne10
- Linke8
- BVB/FW7
- SPD + AfD50 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Grüne48 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne48 of 88
- SPD + CDU + Linke46 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Linke46 of 88
- SPD + CDU + BVB/FW45 of 88
- AfD + CDU + BVB/FW45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.