Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 12 September 2022 for the Brandenburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 11 Sep 2022
- Respondents
- 1,100
- Method
- Online
- SPD26.5%-3.5
- AfD25.0%+6.0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- CDU12.0%-4.0
- BVB/FW7.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- FDP5.0%+0.5
- Others6.5%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 May 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 26.5%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,100 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 May 2022, AfD gains 6.0 points, CDU loses 4.0 points, SPD loses 3.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 6.0 points higher and CDU 6.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +6.0average 19.0
- CDU -6.0average 18.0
- SPD -3.5average 30.0
- BVB/FW +3.0average 4.0
- Grüne +2.0average 10.0
- Linke -1.0average 7.0
- FDP -1.0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency and for lists of the Sorbian minority.
- SPD25
- AfD23
- Grüne11
- CDU11
- BVB/FW7
- Linke6
- FDP5
- SPD + AfD48 of 88
- SPD + Grüne + CDU47 of 88
- AfD + Grüne + CDU45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.