Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 7 July 2021 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Jun 2021 to 6 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 2,950
- Method
- Online
- SPD21.0%+2.0
- CDU20.0%+5.5
- Grüne16.0%-5.5
- Linke14.0%+1.0
- FDP10.5%-0.5
- AfD9.0%-2.0
- Die PARTEI3.0%-1.0
- Others6.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 11 May 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 21.0%, followed by CDU on 20.0%. 2,950 people were surveyed from 29 Jun 2021 to 6 Jul 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 11 May 2021, CDU gains 5.5 points, Grüne loses 5.5 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 6.0 points lower and SPD 3.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -6.0average 22.0
- SPD +3.5average 17.5
- AfD -2.0average 11.0
- Linke +1.5average 12.5
- FDP +1.0average 9.5
- CDU +0.5average 19.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD30
- CDU29
- Grüne23
- Linke20
- FDP15
- AfD13
- SPD + CDU + Grüne82 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke79 of 130
- SPD + CDU + FDP74 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke73 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD72 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke72 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + FDP68 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + FDP67 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.