Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 11 May 2021 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 9 May 2021
- Respondents
- 2,134
- Method
- Online
- Grüne21.5%+1.5
- SPD19.0%-2.0
- CDU14.5%-1.5
- Linke13.0%-2.0
- FDP11.0%+2.5
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Die PARTEI4.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 25 Mar 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne ahead on 21.5%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 2,134 people were surveyed from 1 to 9 May 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 25 Mar 2021, FDP gains 2.5 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 4.5 points lower and CDU 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -4.5average 26.0
- CDU -2.5average 17.0
- FDP +2.5average 8.5
- SPD +1.0average 18.0
- Linke -1.0average 14.0
- AfD +0.5average 10.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne31
- SPD27
- CDU21
- Linke19
- FDP16
- AfD16
- Grüne + SPD + CDU79 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + Linke77 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + FDP74 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD74 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + Linke71 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + FDP68 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD68 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke67 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + FDP66 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.