Single poll
Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 25 March 2021 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 25 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 2,834
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD21.0%
- Grüne20.0%
- CDU16.0%
- Linke15.0%
- AfD10.0%
- FDP8.5%
- Die PARTEI5.0%
- Others4.5%
21.0%
SPD
20.0%
Grüne
16.0%
CDU
15.0%
Linke
10.0%
AfD
8.5%
FDP
5.0%
Die PARTEI
4.5%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 21.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 2,834 people were surveyed from 14 to 25 Mar 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 6.0 points lower and SPD 3.0 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -6.0average 22.0
- SPD +3.0average 18.0
- FDP +2.0average 6.5
- Grüne -0.5average 20.5
- Linke -0.5average 15.5
- AfD -0.5average 10.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD29
- Grüne27
- CDU22
- Linke20
- AfD14
- FDP11
- Die PARTEI7
- SPD + Grüne + CDU78 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke76 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke71 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD70 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + Linke69 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + FDP67 of 130
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.