Single poll
INSA poll of 5 September 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 5 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Freie Wähler on 15.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 1 to 5 Sep 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jul 2023, Freie Wähler gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Freie Wähler 2.7 points higher and CSU 2.4 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler +2.7average 12.3
- CSU -2.4average 39.4
- SPD -0.8average 9.8
- AfD +0.6average 13.4
- Grüne -0.3average 14.3
- FDP ±0average 4.0
- Linke ±0average 2.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU75
- Freie Wähler31
- Grüne28
- AfD28
- SPD18
- CSU + Freie Wähler106 of 180
- CSU + Grüne103 of 180
- CSU + AfD103 of 180
- CSU + SPD93 of 180
More
More polls
← INSA, 27 Jul 2023INSA, 4 Oct 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.