Single poll
INSA poll of 30 May 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 22 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by Grüne on 15.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 May 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Apr 2023, Grüne loses 3.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.2average 10.8
- SPD +0.8average 10.2
- FDP +0.6average 4.4
- Grüne -0.5average 15.5
- CSU -0.2average 40.2
- Linke -0.1average 2.1
- Freie Wähler ±0average 11.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU76
- Grüne29
- AfD23
- SPD21
- Freie Wähler21
- FDP10
- CSU + Grüne105 of 180
- CSU + AfD99 of 180
- CSU + SPD97 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler97 of 180
More
More polls
← INSA, 5 Apr 2023INSA, 27 Jul 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.