INSA poll of 5 April 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Mar 2023 to 3 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CSU40.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- SPD10.0%±0
- Freie Wähler9.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jan 2023.
In this poll INSA has CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 27 Mar 2023 to 3 Apr 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jan 2023, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Freie Wähler 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler -1.8average 10.8
- SPD +1.4average 8.6
- FDP +1.2average 3.8
- CSU -0.6average 40.6
- AfD +0.6average 10.4
- Grüne +0.5average 17.5
- Linke +0.2average 1.8
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU78
- Grüne35
- AfD21
- SPD19
- Freie Wähler17
- FDP10
- CSU + Grüne113 of 180
- CSU + AfD99 of 180
- CSU + SPD97 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler95 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.