Single poll
INSA poll of 12 January 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 9 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 2,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 2 to 9 Jan 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Oct 2022, CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Freie Wähler 1.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler -1.5average 10.5
- FDP +1.4average 3.6
- Grüne +1.3average 17.7
- SPD +1.0average 9.0
- CSU -0.8average 40.8
- AfD -0.6average 10.6
- Linke +0.2average 1.8
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU78
- Grüne37
- SPD19
- AfD19
- Freie Wähler17
- FDP10
- CSU + Grüne115 of 180
- CSU + SPD97 of 180
- CSU + AfD97 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler95 of 180
More
More polls
← INSA, 18 Oct 2022INSA, 5 Apr 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.