Single poll
INSA poll of 18 October 2022 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 17 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 10 to 17 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Oct 2021, SPD loses 10.0 points, CSU gains 7.0 points, Grüne gains 5.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 1.7 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.7average 8.3
- Freie Wähler -0.8average 9.8
- FDP +0.5average 5.5
- CSU -0.3average 39.3
- Grüne +0.2average 19.8
- AfD +0.2average 9.8
- Linke ±0average 2.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU75
- Grüne38
- SPD19
- AfD19
- Freie Wähler17
- FDP12
- CSU + Grüne113 of 180
- CSU + SPD94 of 180
- CSU + AfD94 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler92 of 180
More
More polls
← INSA, 12 Oct 2021INSA, 12 Jan 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2022
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.