Single poll
INSA poll of 12 October 2021 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 11 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Oct 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Jul 2021, SPD gains 10.0 points, Grüne loses 6.0 points, CSU loses 5.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 12.0 points higher and CSU 6.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +12.0average 8.0
- CSU -6.5average 38.5
- Grüne -6.0average 21.0
- FDP +4.5average 6.5
- Freie Wähler -1.0average 9.0
- Linke -1.0average 3.0
- AfD -0.5average 8.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU62
- SPD38
- Grüne29
- FDP21
- AfD15
- Freie Wähler15
- CSU + SPD100 of 180
- CSU + Grüne91 of 180
- CSU + FDP + AfD98 of 180
- CSU + FDP + Freie Wähler98 of 180
- CSU + AfD + Freie Wähler92 of 180
More
More polls
← INSA, 21 Jul 2021INSA, 18 Oct 2022 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2021
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.