Single poll
INSA poll of 21 July 2021 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 19 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 12 to 19 Jul 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Apr 2021, Grüne loses 3.0 points, CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.5 points higher and CSU 2.0 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.5average 7.5
- CSU -2.0average 39.0
- FDP +2.0average 6.0
- Freie Wähler +1.0average 9.0
- AfD -1.0average 9.0
- Grüne ±0average 21.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU71
- Grüne41
- SPD19
- Freie Wähler19
- FDP15
- AfD15
- CSU + Grüne112 of 180
- CSU + SPD + Freie Wähler109 of 180
- CSU + SPD + FDP105 of 180
- CSU + SPD + AfD105 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + FDP105 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + AfD105 of 180
- CSU + FDP + AfD101 of 180
More
More polls
← INSA, 28 Apr 2021INSA, 12 Oct 2021 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2021
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.