INSA poll of 11 August 2020 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 10 Aug 2020
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Online
- CSU47.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.0%+1.0
- SPD10.0%±0
- AfD7.0%±0
- Freie Wähler7.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 May 2020.
In this poll INSA has CSU ahead on 47.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 5 to 10 Aug 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 May 2020, CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Freie Wähler loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.2 points higher and Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Aug 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.2average 7.8
- Grüne -1.5average 19.5
- Freie Wähler +1.0average 6.0
- AfD -0.5average 7.5
- CSU -0.4average 47.4
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
- FDP ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU95
- Grüne37
- SPD20
- AfD14
- Freie Wähler14
- CSU + Grüne132 of 180
- CSU + SPD115 of 180
- CSU + AfD109 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler109 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.