Single poll
INSA poll of 30 May 2020 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 25 May 2020
- Respondents
- 1,014
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CSU ahead on 46.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 1,014 people were surveyed from 19 to 25 May 2020, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Sep 2019, CSU gains 10.0 points, Grüne loses 5.0 points, AfD loses 4.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.0average 3.0
- Grüne -0.9average 17.9
- SPD +0.6average 9.4
- CSU -0.4average 46.4
- Freie Wähler -0.4average 8.4
- AfD +0.1average 6.9
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU94
- Grüne35
- SPD21
- Freie Wähler16
- AfD14
- CSU + Grüne129 of 180
- CSU + SPD115 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler110 of 180
- CSU + AfD108 of 180
More
More polls
← INSA, 25 Sep 2019INSA, 11 Aug 2020 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.