Single poll
INSA poll of 9 October 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 8 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 1,707
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll INSA has CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,707 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Sep 2018, CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.4 points higher and CSU 2.2 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.4average 11.6
- CSU -2.2average 35.2
- SPD -2.0average 12.0
- Freie Wähler +1.5average 9.5
- Grüne +0.6average 17.4
- Linke +0.4average 4.1
- FDP +0.2average 5.3
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU65
- Grüne35
- AfD27
- Freie Wähler22
- SPD20
- FDP11
- CSU + Grüne100 of 180
- CSU + AfD92 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + SPD107 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + FDP98 of 180
- CSU + SPD + FDP96 of 180
More
More polls
← INSA, 26 Sep 2018INSA, 25 Sep 2019 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.