Single poll
INSA poll of 26 September 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 25 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 1,064
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll INSA has CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 1,064 people were surveyed from 21 to 25 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Aug 2018, CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CSU 1.8 points lower and AfD 1.8 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU -1.8average 35.8
- AfD +1.8average 12.2
- SPD -1.0average 12.0
- Freie Wähler +0.9average 9.1
- FDP +0.8average 5.2
- Grüne -0.2average 17.2
- Linke -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU66
- Grüne33
- AfD27
- SPD22
- Freie Wähler20
- FDP12
- CSU + Grüne99 of 180
- CSU + AfD93 of 180
- CSU + SPD + Freie Wähler108 of 180
- CSU + SPD + FDP100 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + FDP98 of 180
More
More polls
← INSA, 28 Aug 2018INSA, 9 Oct 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.