INSA poll of 28 August 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 27 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 1,033
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU36.0%-5.0
- Grüne15.0%+2.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- SPD13.0%±0
- Freie Wähler8.0%+2.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jun 2018.
In this poll INSA has CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 15.0%. 1,033 people were surveyed from 23 to 27 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jun 2018, CSU loses 5.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CSU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU -2.0average 38.0
- AfD +1.1average 12.9
- SPD +0.8average 12.2
- Grüne -0.5average 15.5
- FDP +0.5average 5.5
- Linke -0.4average 3.4
- Freie Wähler -0.3average 8.3
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU71
- Grüne29
- AfD27
- SPD25
- Freie Wähler16
- FDP12
- CSU + Grüne100 of 180
- CSU + AfD98 of 180
- CSU + SPD96 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + FDP99 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.