INSA poll of 21 April 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 20 Apr 2018
- Respondents
- 1,005
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU42.0%+2.0
- SPD13.0%-2.0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Freie Wähler6.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Dec 2017.
In this poll INSA has CSU ahead on 42.0%, followed by SPD on 13.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Dec 2017, CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.0 points lower and AfD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.0average 15.0
- AfD +2.0average 11.0
- FDP +1.7average 5.3
- Freie Wähler -0.6average 6.6
- CSU -0.4average 42.4
- Grüne +0.4average 12.6
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU80
- SPD25
- Grüne25
- AfD25
- FDP13
- Freie Wähler12
- CSU + SPD105 of 180
- CSU + Grüne105 of 180
- CSU + AfD105 of 180
- CSU + FDP93 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler92 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.