INSA poll of 13 December 2017 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 13 Dec 2017
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU40.0%+3.0
- SPD15.0%-2.0
- Grüne12.0%+2.0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler7.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Nov 2017.
In this poll INSA has CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by SPD on 15.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 12 to 13 Dec 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Nov 2017, CSU gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CSU 2.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Dec 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU +2.8average 37.2
- SPD -1.0average 16.0
- Grüne +1.0average 11.0
- FDP -1.0average 8.0
- Linke +0.7average 3.3
- AfD -0.6average 12.6
- Freie Wähler -0.4average 7.4
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU77
- SPD29
- Grüne23
- AfD23
- FDP14
- Freie Wähler14
- CSU + SPD106 of 180
- CSU + Grüne100 of 180
- CSU + AfD100 of 180
- CSU + FDP91 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler91 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.