Single poll

INSA poll of 5 November 2017 for the Bavarian state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
2 to 3 Nov 2017
Respondents
1,033
Method
Unbekannt
  • CSU37.0%
  • SPD17.0%
  • AfD13.0%
  • Grüne10.0%
  • FDP8.0%
  • Freie Wähler8.0%
  • Linke4.0%
  • Others3.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll INSA has CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,033 people were surveyed from 2 to 3 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CSU 3.9 points lower and SPD 2.4 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CSU -3.9average 40.9
  • SPD +2.4average 14.6
  • Grüne -1.7average 11.7
  • Freie Wähler +1.5average 6.5
  • FDP +0.9average 7.1
  • AfD +0.8average 12.2
  • Linke +0.8average 3.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CSU: 72 seatsSPD: 33 seatsAfD: 25 seatsGrüne: 19 seatsFDP: 16 seatsFreie Wähler: 15 seatsMajority from 91180of 180 seats
  • CSU72
  • SPD33
  • AfD25
  • Grüne19
  • FDP16
  • Freie Wähler15
  • CSU + SPD105 of 180
  • CSU + AfD97 of 180
  • CSU + Grüne91 of 180
  • CSU + FDP + Freie Wähler103 of 180
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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