Infratest dimap poll of 28 September 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- ARD
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 27 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,512
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CSU36.0%±0
- Freie Wähler16.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- SPD9.0%±0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Sep 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Freie Wähler on 16.0%. 1,512 people were surveyed from 25 to 27 Sep 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 12 Sep 2023, Freie Wähler loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU -1.2average 37.2
- AfD +0.7average 13.3
- Grüne +0.5average 14.5
- Freie Wähler +0.4average 15.6
- FDP +0.3average 3.7
- SPD +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU72
- Freie Wähler32
- Grüne30
- AfD28
- SPD18
- CSU + Freie Wähler104 of 180
- CSU + Grüne102 of 180
- CSU + AfD100 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.