Infratest dimap poll of 12 September 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- Bayerischer Rundfunk
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 9 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,171
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CSU36.0%-3.0
- Freie Wähler17.0%+5.0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- SPD9.0%-2.0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 May 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Freie Wähler on 17.0%. 1,171 people were surveyed from 5 to 9 Sep 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Bayerischer Rundfunk.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 16 May 2023, Freie Wähler gains 5.0 points, CSU loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Freie Wähler 2.2 points higher and CSU 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler +2.2average 14.8
- CSU -1.8average 37.8
- AfD -1.2average 14.2
- FDP -0.9average 3.9
- Grüne +0.7average 14.3
- SPD +0.4average 8.6
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU72
- Freie Wähler34
- Grüne30
- AfD26
- SPD18
- CSU + Freie Wähler106 of 180
- CSU + Grüne102 of 180
- CSU + AfD98 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.