Infratest dimap poll of 16 May 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- Bayerischer Rundfunk
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 13 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,176
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CSU39.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%-2.0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler12.0%+2.0
- SPD11.0%+2.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others6.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 11 Jan 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by Grüne on 16.0%. 1,176 people were surveyed from 9 to 13 May 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Bayerischer Rundfunk.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 11 Jan 2023, Grüne loses 2.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CSU 2.2 points lower and AfD 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU -2.2average 41.2
- AfD +2.1average 9.9
- Freie Wähler +1.6average 10.4
- SPD +1.5average 9.5
- Grüne -0.5average 16.5
- FDP -0.2average 4.2
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU78
- Grüne32
- AfD24
- Freie Wähler24
- SPD22
- CSU + Grüne110 of 180
- CSU + AfD102 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler102 of 180
- CSU + SPD100 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.