Infratest dimap poll of 11 January 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- Bayerischer Rundfunk
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 9 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 1,190
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CSU38.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- AfD13.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler10.0%-1.0
- SPD9.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 Oct 2022.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,190 people were surveyed from 4 to 9 Jan 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Bayerischer Rundfunk.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 Oct 2022, CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Freie Wähler loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CSU 3.0 points lower and AfD 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU -3.0average 41.0
- AfD +3.0average 10.0
- Freie Wähler -0.3average 10.3
- SPD -0.2average 9.2
- Grüne -0.1average 18.1
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU78
- Grüne37
- AfD27
- Freie Wähler20
- SPD18
- CSU + Grüne115 of 180
- CSU + AfD105 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler98 of 180
- CSU + SPD96 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.