Infratest dimap poll of 13 October 2022 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- Bayerischer Rundfunk
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 11 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,157
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CSU37.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.0%+2.0
- AfD12.0%+2.0
- Freie Wähler11.0%+3.0
- SPD10.0%-4.0
- FDP3.0%-4.0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Jan 2022.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,157 people were surveyed from 7 to 11 Oct 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Bayerischer Rundfunk.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Jan 2022, SPD loses 4.0 points, FDP loses 4.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 3.5 points higher and FDP 3.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +3.5average 8.5
- FDP -3.3average 6.3
- CSU -3.0average 40.0
- Grüne -2.3average 20.3
- SPD +2.0average 8.0
- Freie Wähler +1.5average 9.5
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU76
- Grüne37
- AfD25
- Freie Wähler22
- SPD20
- CSU + Grüne113 of 180
- CSU + AfD101 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler98 of 180
- CSU + SPD96 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.