Infratest dimap poll of 19 January 2022 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- Bayerischer Rundfunk
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 17 Jan 2022
- Respondents
- 1,174
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CSU36.0%-12.0
- Grüne16.0%-3.0
- SPD14.0%+7.0
- AfD10.0%+3.0
- Freie Wähler8.0%±0
- FDP7.0%+4.0
- Others9.0%+4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 Jan 2021.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 16.0%. 1,174 people were surveyed from 13 to 17 Jan 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Bayerischer Rundfunk.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 Jan 2021, CSU loses 12.0 points, SPD gains 7.0 points, FDP gains 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 2.8 points lower and CSU 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Jan 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.8average 16.8
- CSU +2.5average 33.5
- FDP -2.3average 9.3
- AfD +1.3average 8.7
- Freie Wähler -1.0average 9.0
- Grüne +0.5average 15.5
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU71
- Grüne31
- SPD28
- AfD20
- Freie Wähler16
- FDP14
- CSU + Grüne102 of 180
- CSU + SPD99 of 180
- CSU + AfD91 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + FDP101 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.