Infratest dimap poll of 13 January 2021 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 11 Jan 2021
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CSU48.0%+3.0
- Grüne19.0%-2.0
- Freie Wähler8.0%+1.0
- SPD7.0%-1.0
- AfD7.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Oct 2020.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CSU ahead on 48.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 7 to 11 Jan 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 Oct 2020, CSU gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.0average 18.0
- Freie Wähler +1.0average 7.0
- SPD -1.0average 8.0
- AfD +1.0average 6.0
- FDP -1.0average 4.0
- Linke +1.0average 2.0
- CSU ±0average 48.0
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU97
- Grüne39
- Freie Wähler16
- SPD14
- AfD14
- CSU + Grüne136 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler113 of 180
- CSU + SPD111 of 180
- CSU + AfD111 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.