Infratest dimap poll of 7 October 2020 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Sep 2020 to 5 Oct 2020
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CSU45.0%-4.0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- SPD8.0%+1.0
- AfD8.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler7.0%+2.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Jul 2020.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CSU ahead on 45.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 30 Sep 2020 to 5 Oct 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Jul 2020, CSU loses 4.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 3.0 points higher and CSU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.0average 18.0
- CSU -2.0average 47.0
- SPD -1.5average 9.5
- AfD +1.0average 7.0
- Freie Wähler +0.5average 6.5
- FDP ±0average 3.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU91
- Grüne43
- SPD16
- AfD16
- Freie Wähler14
- CSU + Grüne134 of 180
- CSU + SPD107 of 180
- CSU + AfD107 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler105 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.