Infratest dimap poll of 22 July 2020 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 20 Jul 2020
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CSU49.0%+1.0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- SPD7.0%-2.0
- AfD7.0%+2.0
- Freie Wähler5.0%-3.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 May 2020.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CSU ahead on 49.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 15 to 20 Jul 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 27 May 2020, Freie Wähler loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CSU 3.0 points higher and Freie Wähler 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jul 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU +3.0average 46.0
- Freie Wähler -3.0average 8.0
- Grüne +2.5average 17.5
- SPD -2.4average 9.4
- FDP -0.7average 3.7
- AfD -0.2average 7.2
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU101
- Grüne41
- SPD14
- AfD14
- Freie Wähler10
- CSU + Grüne142 of 180
- CSU + SPD115 of 180
- CSU + AfD115 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler111 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.