Infratest dimap poll of 27 May 2020 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 25 May 2020
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CSU48.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%+2.0
- SPD9.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler8.0%±0
- AfD5.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others5.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 8 Apr 2020.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CSU ahead on 48.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 20 to 25 May 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 8 Apr 2020, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 2.8 points lower and CSU 2.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 27 May 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.8average 7.8
- CSU +2.4average 45.6
- Grüne +1.7average 17.3
- SPD -0.7average 9.7
- Freie Wähler -0.6average 8.6
- FDP -0.1average 3.1
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU97
- Grüne39
- SPD18
- Freie Wähler16
- AfD10
- CSU + Grüne136 of 180
- CSU + SPD115 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler113 of 180
- CSU + AfD107 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.