Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 8 April 2020 for the Bavarian state election

Commissioned by
BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers
Fieldwork period
2 to 6 Apr 2020
Respondents
1,003
Method
Telefonisch
  • CSU49.0%+13.0
  • Grüne17.0%-8.0
  • SPD10.0%+3.0
  • Freie Wähler8.0%-2.0
  • AfD6.0%-4.0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Others7.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Jan 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CSU ahead on 49.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Apr 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Jan 2020, CSU gains 13.0 points, Grüne loses 8.0 points, AfD loses 4.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CSU 7.9 points higher and AfD 3.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CSU +7.9average 41.1
  • AfD -3.8average 9.8
  • Grüne -2.8average 19.8
  • Freie Wähler -1.6average 9.6
  • SPD +0.8average 9.2
  • Linke -0.6average 3.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CSU: 98 seatsGrüne: 34 seatsSPD: 20 seatsFreie Wähler: 16 seatsAfD: 12 seatsMajority from 91180of 180 seats
  • CSU98
  • Grüne34
  • SPD20
  • Freie Wähler16
  • AfD12
  • CSU + Grüne132 of 180
  • CSU + SPD118 of 180
  • CSU + Freie Wähler114 of 180
  • CSU + AfD110 of 180
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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