Infratest dimap poll of 15 January 2020 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 13 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CSU36.0%+1.0
- Grüne25.0%+4.0
- AfD10.0%+2.0
- Freie Wähler10.0%-3.0
- SPD7.0%-2.0
- FDP4.0%-2.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Jan 2019.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 25.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 8 to 13 Jan 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Jan 2019, Grüne gains 4.0 points, Freie Wähler loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 4.0 points higher and SPD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +4.0average 21.0
- SPD -1.5average 8.5
- FDP -1.5average 5.5
- CSU -1.0average 37.0
- AfD -0.5average 10.5
- Linke -0.5average 3.5
- Freie Wähler ±0average 10.0
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU74
- Grüne51
- AfD21
- Freie Wähler20
- SPD14
- CSU + Grüne125 of 180
- CSU + AfD95 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler94 of 180
- Grüne + AfD + Freie Wähler92 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.