Infratest dimap poll of 12 September 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 10 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU35.0%-3.0
- Grüne17.0%+1.0
- SPD11.0%-2.0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler11.0%+2.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Jul 2018.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 5 to 10 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 18 Jul 2018, CSU loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Freie Wähler 3.2 points higher and AfD 2.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler +3.2average 7.8
- AfD -2.7average 13.7
- Linke +1.6average 3.4
- SPD -1.3average 12.3
- CSU -1.2average 36.2
- Grüne +0.9average 16.1
- FDP -0.7average 5.7
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU66
- Grüne32
- SPD21
- AfD21
- Freie Wähler21
- FDP10
- Linke9
- CSU + Grüne98 of 180
- CSU + SPD + AfD108 of 180
- CSU + SPD + Freie Wähler108 of 180
- CSU + AfD + Freie Wähler108 of 180
- CSU + SPD + FDP97 of 180
- CSU + AfD + FDP97 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + FDP97 of 180
- CSU + SPD + Linke96 of 180
- CSU + AfD + Linke96 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + Linke96 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.