Infratest dimap poll of 18 July 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 16 Jul 2018
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU38.0%-3.0
- Grüne16.0%+2.0
- SPD13.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- Freie Wähler9.0%+2.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Others3.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 May 2018.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 16.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 11 to 16 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 May 2018, CSU loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.2 points higher and Freie Wähler 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jul 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.2average 13.8
- Freie Wähler +2.2average 6.8
- CSU -2.1average 40.1
- AfD -1.8average 13.8
- Linke +1.0average 3.0
- FDP -0.6average 5.6
- SPD +0.3average 12.7
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU74
- Grüne31
- SPD25
- AfD23
- Freie Wähler17
- FDP10
- CSU + Grüne105 of 180
- CSU + SPD99 of 180
- CSU + AfD97 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler91 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.