Infratest dimap poll of 2 May 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 27 Apr 2018
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU41.0%+1.0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- SPD12.0%-4.0
- AfD12.0%+2.0
- Freie Wähler7.0%±0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 10 Jan 2018.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CSU ahead on 41.0%, followed by Grüne on 14.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 22 to 27 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 10 Jan 2018, SPD loses 4.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CSU 2.1 points lower and SPD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU -2.1average 43.1
- SPD -2.0average 14.0
- Grüne +1.7average 12.3
- Freie Wähler +0.6average 6.4
- FDP +0.4average 5.6
- AfD +0.3average 11.7
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU80
- Grüne27
- SPD24
- AfD23
- Freie Wähler14
- FDP12
- CSU + Grüne107 of 180
- CSU + SPD104 of 180
- CSU + AfD103 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler94 of 180
- CSU + FDP92 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.