Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 10 January 2018 for the Bavarian state election

Commissioned by
BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers
Fieldwork period
3 to 8 Jan 2018
Respondents
1,002
Method
Unbekannt
  • CSU40.0%
  • SPD16.0%
  • Grüne14.0%
  • AfD10.0%
  • Freie Wähler7.0%
  • FDP5.0%
  • Linke3.0%
  • Others5.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 3 to 8 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BR-Politikmagazin Kontrovers.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.7 points higher and FDP 2.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.7average 11.3
  • FDP -2.5average 7.5
  • AfD -2.0average 12.0
  • CSU +1.6average 38.4
  • Linke -0.5average 3.5
  • Freie Wähler -0.3average 7.3
  • SPD +0.2average 15.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CSU: 78 seatsSPD: 31 seatsGrüne: 27 seatsAfD: 20 seatsFreie Wähler: 14 seatsFDP: 10 seatsMajority from 91180of 180 seats
  • CSU78
  • SPD31
  • Grüne27
  • AfD20
  • Freie Wähler14
  • FDP10
  • CSU + SPD109 of 180
  • CSU + Grüne105 of 180
  • CSU + AfD98 of 180
  • CSU + Freie Wähler92 of 180
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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