Single poll
GMS poll of 20 June 2022 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 20 Jun 2022
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 15 to 20 Jun 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 26 Apr 2022, Grüne gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points, CSU gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has SPD 3.5 points lower and Grüne 2.5 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -3.5average 12.5
- Grüne +2.5average 17.5
- FDP -1.5average 6.5
- AfD +1.0average 7.0
- Freie Wähler +0.5average 8.5
- Linke +0.5average 1.5
- CSU ±0average 40.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU79
- Grüne39
- SPD18
- Freie Wähler18
- AfD16
- FDP10
- CSU + Grüne118 of 180
- CSU + SPD97 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler97 of 180
- CSU + AfD95 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 26 Apr 2022GMS, 21 Sep 2022 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2022
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.