Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 11 October 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 11 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 1,075
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU34.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- SPD12.0%±0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Freie Wähler10.0%±0
- FDP5.5%±0
- Linke4.0%-0.5
- Others5.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 Oct 2018.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,075 people were surveyed from 10 to 11 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 5 Oct 2018, CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD 2.4 points lower and Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.4average 12.4
- Grüne +1.5average 17.5
- SPD +0.6average 11.4
- CSU -0.2average 34.2
- Linke -0.2average 4.2
- Freie Wähler ±0average 10.0
- FDP ±0average 5.5
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU67
- Grüne38
- SPD24
- AfD20
- Freie Wähler20
- FDP11
- CSU + Grüne105 of 180
- CSU + SPD91 of 180
- CSU + AfD + Freie Wähler107 of 180
- CSU + AfD + FDP98 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + FDP98 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.