Single poll
Forsa poll of 8 August 2024 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Süddeutsche Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 22 Jul 2024 to 2 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,036
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Forsa has CSU ahead on 43.0%, followed by AfD on 13.0%. 1,036 people were surveyed from 22 Jul 2024 to 2 Aug 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Süddeutsche Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Aug 2023, CSU gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points, Freie Wähler loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.3 points lower and CSU 2.0 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.3average 13.3
- CSU +2.0average 41.0
- Freie Wähler -2.0average 14.0
- SPD +1.0average 7.0
- BSW +1.0average 3.0
- FDP -0.3average 2.3
- AfD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU89
- AfD27
- Freie Wähler25
- Grüne23
- SPD16
- CSU + AfD116 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler114 of 180
- CSU + Grüne112 of 180
- CSU + SPD105 of 180
More
More polls
← Forsa, 2 Aug 2023Forsa, 12 Sep 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.